Tuesday, December 27, 2016

2016 Trade Year in Review- Part 2



Welcome back to the Iron Bank’s trading post where we accept BB $, future draft picks, startup picks, knights, and squires as compensation. Last week I went through the first 16 houses summarizing their trade dealings throughout the year, now I’ll wrap up the final 16 houses and put forward my nominees for best and worst trade of the year

House Forrester

19 trades- 9 startup, 10 pre/during season

Trade overview: Forrester came out of the gates firing in this league, trading up for the 1st overall pick….then trading it away. Forrester drafted quite well in the startup and effectively straddled the line of good luck and bad luck in deals, never pulling too far ahead or behind on value. 

Biggest Trade: Gave 1.31, 4.02, Forrester’s 1st for 1.01- I’ve tried to avoid using startup trades whenever possible, but when you deal for 1.01, it’s your biggest trade. As mentioned, he didn’t keep it long, flipping it with the 5.31 to move down 10 spots and get the 4.05, continuing to set himself up with as many elite assets as possible in the startup.

Best Trade: Gave Tyrod Taylor, Theo Riddick, and Richard Rodgers for Carr, Langford, Stark 3rd – Cashed out of 3 asssets at the near peak of their value for a QB on the rise, a valuable handcuff, and a 3rd. Very solid upgrade

Worst Trade: Gave DeMarco Murray, 9.31 for Kelce, 12.32- that’s right, he gave Murray and a 3 round upgrade to Tyrell to get Kelce. I can see that making sense in TE premium, but I don’t think we’re playing that format here.

House Targaryen

9 trades- 6 during startup, 3 pre/during season

Trade overview: A reserved trader, Targaryen only accepted deals with a clear purpose. In the startup, he moved around to gain 2 1st round picks, to maximize his picks in the top 150, and not surrender his 2017 1st. In season, he bought 2 lotto tickets and cashed his 1st in for a playoff push. All in all, he was able to be the top scoring team in the fire conference while maintaining a few long term assets

Biggest Trade: Gave Jimmy Garoppolo, Tevin Coleman, Targaryen’s 1st for Big Ben, Tyler Gaffney- his all in trade to add a 2nd premium QB in a playoff push. The overall value will depend on how healthy Ben can be over the next 2-3 years or what return he gets when flipping Ben.

Best Trade: Gave Phillip Dorsett for Tyler Boyd- very well timed deal, flipping a blocked WR asset for one with a clear path to productivity.

Worst Trade- Baratheon’s 3rd for Karlos Williams- a roll of the dice for potential production, but due to taxi thievery, likely must keep him on his active roster while this he serves his suspension, limiting his ability to make other moves

House Swann

8 trades- 3 during startup, 5 pre/during season

Trade overview: Swann didn’t really trade much. Yup, there’s that deep and amazing insight you all read for. But with only 8 trades, and none for core pieces, Swann has decided to bet on her ability to draft rather than her ability to time a market. Considering her run to the Fire conference finals this year, it’s tough to argue with that.

Biggest trade: Gave Yeldon for Simean- Swann’s Achilles heel for most of the year was not being able to run a 2nd QB out in her flex. This deal filled that hole just in time for the 2nd week of winter

Best trade: Gave Egen’s 4th, Bank’s 5th for Pierre Garcon- say what you will about Garcon, but he’s currently the WR32 aka a WR2 this year. Getting that production for a 4th and 5th is a price most will be willing to pay.

Worst trade: Gave Rawls for Yeldon, Egen’s 4th- At the time, people were running out of patience and faith that Rawls would return to his previous role with Seattle. Clegane took advantage of this doubt to pry him free for an underperforming Yeldon.

House Fell

7 trades- 5 startup, 2 pre/during season

Trade overview- Fell didn’t trade often, but when he did, he traded down. All 5 of his startup trades were focused on moving down from the most valuable asset in the deal, except for one where he sold a pick for a 2017 2nd. His in season trades helped acquire assets for his draft warchest

Biggest trade- gave 7.25 for 8.28, 10.28- who cares who the players are, seriously this is the trade with the highest priced assets that Fell did this year. I’m getting nothing from this team….

Best Trade- Gave McCown, Fell’s 3rd for Bara’s 2nd, BWOB’s 4th, and Wode’s 4th

Worst Trade- traded 11.29 (Jamison Crowder) for Baelish’s 2nd- Crowder might be worth a bit more than this today

Oldtown Maesters

65 trades- 21 during startup, 44 pre/during season

Trade Overview: Maesters’ trading style this year was akin to a pendulum. In the startup, he focused on moving down and adding 2017 picks (primarily 1sts). After the startup, he shifted to being a buyer swapping those hard-earned picks for target players before any football had been played. In season, he served in a clearing house role, willing to deal any member of his team for the right price. After the dust has settled, he has 4 potential starting QBs, youth all over, and still a few picks for the 2017 draft. Time will tell how fate treats the maesters and their chain adorned with yellow gold.

Biggest Trade- Gave D. Henry, Egen’s 1st, Hightower’s 2nd for Corey Coleman- in a vacuum, comes out as a 2017 1st and 2nd and 1.10 for the 1.02. Definitely in line for a price paid in a rookie draft next year, but probably the largest exchange of capital maesters made last year.

Best Trade- Gave Booker for Crowder- very very nice cash out on Booker, and shockingly Crowder held no grudge from being traded away in the first place

Worst Trade- Gave Baratheon’s 1st, Egen’s 2nd, Brandon Wilds for Devin Funchess- again this is with the benefit of hindsight, but funchess hasn’t come close to fulfilling his preseason expectations

House Tyrell

19 trades- 11 during startup, 8 pre/during season

Trade overview: Game of Thrones lore has made two prices very well known to us- The Iron Price (paid through conquest) and The Golden Price (paid through money). This league has introduced a 3rd price, The Tyrellian Price. This price includes the players Tyrell likes at his values for them or you are either “out to lunch,” placed on the no trade list, or subject to mockery by the league. This stinginess helped preserve his team’s value, in many cases improving it at critical times, which has led him to the title game.

Biggest Trade: Lewis, Murray, Rawls, Jones, Thomas for Manuel, Zeke, Riddick, Cruz, Inman- spawned an emergency podcast and league-wide reaction. Zeke and Inman have been critical players to carry Tyrell to the championship

Best Trade: Gave Kelce, 12.32 got Murray, 9.31- mentioned it earlier, I know, but just can’t get over the 3-round upgrade. Alrght, moving on.

Worst Trade: Gave Cousins, Terrence Williams for Michael Floyd- sometimes the Tyrellian Price doesn’t make lot of sense, but we all make mistakes…

House Tarly

2 trades-all during startup

Trade overview- Not much to see here, Tarly made 2 connected moves, moving from 4.20 to 4.26 to improve an 8th round pick, and from 4.26 to 5.02 to improve a 9th round pick.

House Hightower

42 trades- 29 during startup, 13 during pre/regular season

Trade overview: Hightower was moving around like Ali during the startup, logging the most startup trades I’ve seen thus far. Post-startup, Hightower sat back making only small deals with his core until the time was right to buy in the market. He’s maintained a young core and has positioned himself well to compete in 2017 and beyond.

Biggest Trade: Tannehill, DGB, Stark’s 2nd for Cousins, Riddick- Cousins has turned into one of the premier QB assets while Tannehill seems to be having the offense taken out of his hands for his team to have success. DGB’s ability to develop will determine how this trade balances out, but paying up to get a QB1 makes this Hightower’s biggest trade.

Best Trade: Gave Kessler & Chris Moore for Garoppolo, Funchess, Rodgers, and starks 4th – gave a QB that has an outside shot of being the browns starter next year for a QB with an outside shot of being the Browns starter next year, a young WR with good metrics, a fringe TE and a 4th. A win no matter how you slice it

Worst Trade: Gave Cameron Meredith, Malcolm Mitchell for John Brown- John Brown has had an epic fall from grace. A preseason darling who was picked to be the next Antonio Brown, to a player on a snap count due to a sickle cell trait. In exchange, he surrenders two wrs who have had breakout years (a WR2 for Meredith since week 5 and a WR1 for Mitchell since week 11)

The Faceless Men

10 trades- 5 during startup, 5 pre/during season

Trade overview: Startup focused on trading down and acquiring more picks all in small, discrete moves. His 1st big move was recovering from a rough break at QB to make sure he could field a weekly lineup. His other big deal was to sell out of an aging asset that didn’t belong on his team (Gronk) for the pieces to help him build his team back up. He is also one of the finalists for the best trade bait in the league.

Biggest Trade: Gave Agholor and Dez for TyGod and Diggs – Shifted Faceless from a likely Castemere candidate to a weekly contender.

Best Trade: Gave Gronk, Starks for Jeffery, Floyd, Targaryen’s 1st, Egen’s 2nd – After having Gronk on his trade bait for the majority of the season, he was finally able to unload him to a team making a playoff push. Thanks to nice stretch of TE1 overall games, he was able to garner the offseason price for Gronk and reposition himself for the future

Worst Trade: Gave DuJuan Harris for Keyarris Garrett- The week after Harris puts up 20+ points he gets dealt or a player who wasn’t drafted and isn’t on a roster?

Brotherhood Without Banners

15 trades- 13 during startup, 2 pre/during season

Trade Overview: Really only count his startup trades, as his 2 post startup trades were fringe players for 5th round picks. He prioritized top 100 picks, strategically moving later assets as needed to get his target players. He ran into some trouble with the Bridgewater injury, but still picked up enough games to show some hope for his team next year.

Biggest Trade- Gave 1.29, 2.04, and 3.29 for 1.11 and 2.18- a combination of two deals where BWoB paid a pretty penny to move up and get obj, one of the top assets in fantasy. But considering AB was the 1.15 (his intermediate 1st), and Evans was taken in the range of 1.29, was this needed?

Best Trade- Gave Hightower’s 5th for Lorenzo Taliaferro- tossing a 5th round pick for Taliaferro, who has shown well in his limited time as the starter.

Worst Trade- Gave a 4th for a shit ton of picks in the last 5 rounds but didn’t end up making about half off them

Iron Bank of Braavos

70 trades- 21 in startup, 49 pre/during season

Trade Overview: Iron Bank was one of the more active traders in both startup and in season. His team transitioned from a win later depth play, to a consolidated group of studs, to a tweener which missed the playoffs, and back to a productive struggle. His favorite trade format was the sweepstakes, which in some cases turned out well for him, in others, put him in a tough spot of trading a stud for less than his worth.

Biggest Trade: Gave Kevin White, Sammie Coates, Night’s Watch’s 1st for Antonio Brown- patient zero of his transition from productive struggle to consolidation. Pairing AB84 with Julio put him in a position where not going for it was illogical, and led to many more deals.

Best Trade: Gave Glennon and Hogan for Crowder and Enunwa- Crowder’s accomplishments have been well documented thus far and Enunwa has been very productive as a fill in WR. Hogan has been hit or miss, this deal will come down to where Glennon lands

Worst Trade: Gave Simean for Free Folk’s 4th – locked in a profit from 5th to a 4th, but sold out way too soon.

Sand Snakes

23 trades- 13 startup, 10 pre/during season

Trade Overview: Sand Snakes has his style best described as small moves, and trading only when necessary, nothing more than that. This philosophy allowed him to make small, calculated moves to improve his team above both the Iron Bank and Santagar, who were far more active traders. As mentioned, he eschewed the larger blockbuster deal for small adjustments in the draft, which allowed him to build up a strong warchest of later draft picks, which he was able to draw upon during the year to get the fill in players he needed to win key weeks.

Biggest Trade: Siemean, Wheaton, Snakes 1st, Santi’s 3rd for Palmer, Stanton, Walker’s 2nd – his biggest adjustment, reinforcing my point about small moves rather than major adjustments. This was a tactical swap to grab a QB without a week 11 bye- the 2nd week of winter- and his handcuff, allowing him to hang on to win his division and the #1 seed in Fire.

Best Trade- Gave McKinnon for Charles Sims, Gillislee- Was able to cash out on the hype/promise of McKinnon, who failed to impress in his debut with the starting role, for another highly regarded PPR back, and a very useful TD vulture/handcuff in Mike Gillislee.

Worst Trade- Gave Don Jackson for Brent Celek and Reed’s 5th- one of the hotter names as a waiver wire add that amounted to nothing. In the end, not an impactful deal, but you have to think he could have pried more value elsewhere from a GB fan or a Lacy owner panicking about their injured core piece.

Night’s Watch

24 trades- 10 during startup, 14 pre/during season

Trade overview- If a big name wasn’t moving as part of the deal, don’t waste his time with the conversation. This led to a lot of home runs, a lot of strikeouts/bad beats, and a very interesting roster going forward.

Biggest Trade- Gave Adams, Crowder, and Ri. Matthews for Hopkins, which was given for a 1.01- Hopkins is arguably the biggest name Night’s Watch traded for, so he’s got to be the biggest trade. What was interesting was the follow on move selling him for a 1.01. This has been a widely lauded class, but is there a D-Hop in this year’s class, or is this a temporary acquisition of the asset to flip again?

Best Trade- Gave Alshon, Cruz, Doyle for Bernard, Adams, Crowder, Ebron- Gave the biggest name, but hindsight shows he got the better haul back, especially considering he was able to flip about half of this haul for D-Hop and eventually the 1.01

Worst Trade- Gave Agholor, T. Williams, Forrester’s 1st, Night’s 2nd, Night’s 3rd for C.J. Anderson- A lot of value going out for Anderson, who is in a backfield who loves the timeshare. This deal looks better now than it did earlier, with no other Denver back seizing control of their opportunity.

White Walkers

12 trades- 3 during startup, 9 pre/during season

Trade Overview: Walkers is the first contender reviewed (well, champ at this point) that didn’t load up on trades during the startup. 3 small adjustment deals were all he pursued in the startup, with his attention focused on sticking and picking. Post -startup, he enjoyed a special relationship with The Maesters of Oldtown, executing almost half of his deals with him.

Biggest Trade: Gave McKinnon, Snead, Santi’s 2nd for Demarco, Teal Julius- The kind of deadline deal that helps put a team over the top, and it did in this case. Grabbing the newly acquired Murray from Stark, allowing him to keep pace with some of his high scoring competition this postseason.

Best Trade: Improving his 1st, 3rd, and 5th round picks for free- 3 separate swaps with Maesters where he gave his pick in each round for another pick in that round. As league champ, this turns into his favor in each

Worst Trade: Gave K. Davis, Walker’s 4th for Jesse James- James was one of the hotter names as the rising Steelers TE. At this point, he seems destined for the waiver wire. Not a major loss, but one nonetheless.

Free Folk

18 trades- 12 startup, 6 pre/during season

Trade Overview: Focused on the startup for most of his activity, attempting to compete with some very strong teams this year in Ice. Led to a strong PP, but lineup trouble caused him to miss the postseason and adjust his approach. The strength of his team still saw him crowned Tourney champion, a crown for which he will receive no prize but pride.

Biggest Trade: Gave Fitztragic, Geno, J Matt for Goff: His official transition from playoff competitor to long term planner. Cashed out of Fitz at the right time and bought Goff at a diminished value. Goff’s learning curve will determine how this trade shakes out at the end of the day.

Best Trade: Gave Bara’s 4th for Reek- 4th rounder for a top 10 WR this year. Who says no?

Worst Trade: Gave Hightower for ASJ- Miring away with legal troubles and on a depth chart where TEs go to die, for a player who annually contributes near the end of the season.

Children of the Forest

11 trades- 3 during startup, 8 pre/during season

Trade Overview: Children did well to extract value with well timed/placed deals. While he struggled to move target pieces at times, he was eventually able to get fair value for them, as well as pick up additional draft capital in the process. He’s well positioned to be a major market leader this offseason.

Biggest Trade: Gave up DT, got Moncrief- Was thrilled to finally move DT off his roster, Moncrief is great value back. He’s performed well with Luck in stints, but has not taken over as the WR1 he was supposed to be according to draft pundits. Next year very well may be his make/break year.

Best Trade: Gave up Foster, got Malcolm Mitchell- If Foster didn’t retire this week, he did the week after this deal. Getting an emerging weapon for Tom Brady for that is a heck of a coup.

Worst Trade: Gave Paxton Lynch for Derrick Henry- QBs are gold in this league, especially starting QBs. Henry was a 1st round pick equivalent in our startup this year, but is well blocked on the depth chart with Murray still looking like a workhorse.
With trading re-opening around now, I'm excited for the fast/furious to return. I'll be back later this week with my nominations for best/worst trades of the year.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.